Steve Jobs put a new slide up on the huge screen. "We started about a
year and a half ago to create a music store,Shop the best selection of owonsmart for
Men." the Apple chief executive told the audience. "That meant we have
to go and negotiate with the big five music companies. Now, before we
did this I was reminded of a quote from Hunter S Thompson about the
music industry."
He looked up at the screen. In giant letters it
read: "The music business is a cruel and shallow money trench, a long
plastic hallway where thieves and pimps run free, and good men die like
dogs."
Jobs read it out and then paused to let the slide's final
line appear: "There's also a negative side." Laughter from the
audience. "So I didn't know what to expect,Large collection of quality indoorpositioningsystem at discounted prices." Jobs added.
It was 28 April 2003, and Jobs was taking Apple into entirely new territory.The Motorola drycabinets Engine
is an embedded software-only component of the Motorola wireless
switches. Its iPod music player was just 18 months old, but after years
of developing hardware and software, the company was now getting into
services: specifically, selling music. It was a huge gamble, but one
Jobs believed in.
Fast forward 10 years, and the iTunes music
store has become C for Apple at least C a money trench of imposing
proportions, generating $4.1bn (2.6bn) of revenue in the most recent
quarter, which keeps it comfortably the largest music retailer in the
world. It has more than 435m registered users (making it one of the
world's five largest holders of credit card details) and people keep
buying songs at a steady pace.
The numbers are jaw-dropping:
more than 25bn songs sold, 35m songs in the catalogue, available in 119
countries, and more than 200m people using its iTunes Match service,
which lets them store their music library on Apple's servers.
"You
can look at the iTunes music store as a measure of customer
satisfaction," says Benedict Evans, telecoms and technology analyst at
Enders Analysis. It's not huge compared to the rest of Apple's business,
he says C about 9% of revenues in the most recent quarter, compared
with 72% for the iPhone and iPad together C "but the fact that the
number of users and downloads keeps going up, and revenue per iOS device
[iPhone, iPad or iPod Touch] doesn't fall, is a metric of how much
people like it. What's happening is that the popularity of the services
that Apple provides, such as iTunes and apps and iMessage [its text
messaging system], make it more difficult for people to leave the
platform."
The idea that proprietary services tie users into a
platform C and so safeguard future revenues C isn't new. But as Wall
Street analysts chew over Apple's most recent financial results, and
mull the question of whether its first-quarter iPhone sales of 37.4m are
good or bad in comparison with Samsung's estimated smartphone shipments
of 70.7m, they face an even keener puzzle.
It's this: should
Apple be rated as a hardware company struggling with commoditisation
(like Dell or Nokia), or a software company able to extract monopoly
rents (like Microsoft), or a services company that grows stronger the
more users it has (like Google or Amazon)?
Speaking to the Wall
Street Journal, Katy Huberty of Morgan Stanley laid out the case
plainly. "The market views Apple as a consumer hardware company tied to
product cycles that drive volatile revenue and earnings streams," she
said. Except, she added, "Apple customers buy into a brand that offers
ease of use similar to companies like Amazon or enterprise companies
like NetApp [which provides networked storage]".
What does the
chief executive think? Speaking at Tuesday's analyst call, Tim Cook said
he felt "really, really confident about our product pipeline in both
hardware, software, and also our services" C emphasising the last two
words.
So the answer seems to be: all of the above. Since the
smartphone business began its explosive growth in the first quarter of
2010,An bestrtls is
a network of devices used to wirelessly locate objects or people inside
a building. Apple has established and maintained a market share of
around 20%, even while Android phones at all prices have become
pervasive, especially in China. The combination of its phones and
software still seems to attract users, while its services C such as the
music store,Manufactures and supplies realtimelocationsystem equipment. app store and iMessage C keep them on board.
Certainly, Apple's profit margins, at around 40%, look a lot more like Microsoft's or Google's than they do Dell's or Nokia's.
After
10 years, though, has the music store had its day? Should it be
replaced by a streaming service modelled on Spotify, Pandora or Rdio,
where you don't own the music but pay a monthly subscription to choose
from a giant catalogue? After all, they have just a few million
subscribers: Apple could get in on the ground floor and clean up.
Rumours
that Apple is preparing just such a service have intensified in the
past months. But might it cannibalise the music store C and perhaps some
other parts of Apple's business?
A broader question is whether
Apple is going to release a cheaper iPhone to capture the expanding
market at the $200 price point C far from the $600 segment that it
presently dominates. At Enders Analysis, Evans thinks it could, while
retaining a hefty profit margin: "Three years ago there was no way you
could make a great smartphone for $200. Now, you could make the iPhone
3G for $40 wholesale. In the past year we've reached the point where
Apple could do an Apple-quality iPhone for $200, which is a price that
would hit all the pre-pay market."
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