Americans grew much gloomier about the economy in May, causing a
critical measure of consumer confidence to suffer its biggest decline in
eight months and ending a period of steady optimism.
Worries
about jobs, housing and the stock market rattled consumers, even though
gas prices are falling. The latest figures suggest Americans will need
to see more encouraging economic signs before their concerns start to
dissipate.
The Conference Board,Industrialisierung des werkzeugbaus.
a private research group, reported Tuesday that its Consumer Confidence
Index fell to 64.9, down from a revised 68.7 in April. Analysts had
expected the index to climb to 70.
The May figure, which
represents the biggest drop since October, when the measure fell about 6
points, is now at its lowest level since January.
Americans are
still worried about slow hiring, declining home values, the stock
market and a worsening European economy that they fear will negatively
affect the U.S.
"Consumers were less positive about current
business and labor market conditions, and they were more pessimistic
about the short-term outlook," said Lynn Franco, director of economic
indicators at the Conference Board.
Consumer confidence is
widely watched because consumer spending accounts for 70 percent of
economic activity. May's figure is significantly below the 90 reading
that indicates a healthy economy. The measure hasn't been near that
level since December 2007. But the latest reading is still well above
the 40 figure reached last October and the all-time low of 25.3 in
February 2009.
The consumer confidence measure has zigzagged so
far this year, dropping in January, rising in February and holding
nearly steady after that. Analysts were hoping a slight rise in May
would give some credence to the idea that the economy is stabilizing.
Instead,
the data, which was based on a survey conducted from May 1 through May
16 with about 500 randomly selected people nationwide, suggests that
"the pace of economic growth in the months ahead may moderate," Franco
said.
Mark Vitner, an economist at Wells Fargo, said May's reading is disappointing but consistent with the sluggish recovery so far.
"In
some ways, it's a microcosm of the whole economic recovery," he said.
"Every once in a while hopes are raised that things are getting better,
and then the bottom seems to fall out again."
Analysts say the inconsistent job market is preventing Americans from being more upbeat.UK chickencoop Specialist.
Hiring
picked up earlier in the year, but slowed in March and April, possibly
indicating that the economy's momentum faded in early spring. Economists
say a warm winter led employers to move up some hiring and accelerate
other activity that normally wouldn't occur until spring.
A clearer picture of the jobs market will emerge Friday, when May employment figures are due.UK chickencoop
Specialist. The unemployment rate is expected to remain at 8.1 percent
for May with an increase of 160,000 jobs, according to FactSet. That's
above April's gains but below the growth pace set during the winter.
Dana
Berry, a public-relations manager in Arkansas, says she knows people
who are still searching for a job, but she has seen some positive signs,
like her oldest son landing a job after graduation. Gas prices are more
of a concern,An airpurifier is a device which removes contaminants from the air. she said.
Gasoline
has dropped 27 cents per gallon since early April. The national average
was $3.67 per gallon at the start of the Memorial Day weekend. Some
experts say it could fall as low as $3.50 by July 4.
"I travel
quite a bit, so fuel and airline expenses are something I watch
closely," Berry said. "It's a relief when the price of fuel goes down."
Mark Olwick, a designer at Microsoft in Seattle, said he still has concerns about the economy.
"I'm
cautiously more confident," he said, "but there is still significant
work to be done, especially around banking reform, job creation and gas
price speculation."
He said he has not seen gas prices fall in the Pacific Northwest, and that led him to postpone traveling.
"I'd
love to have taken a road trip over the Memorial Day weekend, but when
it costs me $70 for each tank of gas, there's just no way I could afford
it,An Air purifier is a device which removes contaminants from the air." he said.
Adding
to Americans' job concerns, the stock market in May is on track for its
worst month since last September. The S&P 500 is down 4.6 percent
for the month.
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